Probabilidades das semifinais da Copa do Mundo de 2026: quais nações são favoritas para chegar à quarta final?
With 48 teams competing and a grueling path through the knockout stage, reaching the semifinals of the 2026 FIFA World Cup will be an accomplishment in itself.
Only four nations will survive the tournament’s first 100 matches and earn a spot in the final four, putting themselves within two victories of lifting the most coveted trophy in sports.
On Thursday, France became the first nation to clinch a spot in the semifinals after its commanding 2-0 win over Morocco. Behind Kylian Mbappé’s eighth goal of the tournament and Ousmane Dembélé’s fifth, Les Bleus has reached its third consecutive semis appearance.
France will await the winner of the Spain vs. Belgium quarterfinal matchup on Friday.
With three spots left, who will join them?
Let’s take a full look at the latest odds to reach the semifinals at FanDuel Sportsbook as of July 9.
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To Reach Semifinals
Spain: -325 (bet $10 to win $13.08 total)
Argentina: -310 (bet $10 to win $13.23 total)
England: -225 (bet $10 to win $14.44 total)
Norway: +180 (bet $10 to win $28 total)
Switzerland: +235 (bet $10 to win $33.50 total)
Belgium: +250 (bet $10 to win $35 total)
Here’s what to know about this oddsboard:
The Top Teams: Argentina, Spain and England — all considered powerhouse countries — stand at the top of the board after France has clinched, with each nation listed at -225 or better to reach the semifinals. However, after its win over Portugal on Monday, Spain has jumped both England and Argentina on the oddsboard. Meanwhile, Erling Haaland and Norway are looking to upset the Three Lions in the quarterfinals to keep their dream World Cup run going.
